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2024-12-13 05:29:29

Spot gold rose by 1.5% in the day to $2,672.85 per ounce.According to statistics, on December 9, as of press time, five A-share listed companies including Jinghua Laser, Wuxi Zhenhua, Mindong Electric Power, Tefa Service and Yandongwei disclosed their holdings.Wang Wentao, Minister of Commerce, met with Coleman, Secretary-General of the OECD, and Wang Wentao, Minister of Commerce, met with Coleman, Secretary-General of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, in Beijing on December 9 to have an in-depth exchange of views on the world economic situation and further deepening bilateral cooperation. Wang Wentao pointed out that China is willing to share policy experience, conduct personnel exchanges and promote pragmatic cooperation with the OECD in the fields of trade and investment, digital economy and green development. It is hoped that the OECD can continue to give full play to the advantages of the "incubator" of global high-standard international rules, work with China to promote the construction of an open world economy and oppose protectionism. Coleman spoke highly of China's achievements in realizing economic development and opening wider to the outside world, and said that China's strong economic growth has played an important supporting role in the global economy. He is willing to cooperate more closely with China in the fields of climate change and service trade, oppose protectionism and jointly meet global challenges.


Egypt condemns Israel's occupation of the buffer zone between Israel and Syria: It violates international law. On the 9th local time, the Egyptian Foreign Ministry issued a statement, strongly condemning Israel's occupation of the buffer zone with Syria and its adjacent areas, calling it an occupation of Syrian territory and an infringement of Syria's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The statement said that Israel used the vacuum period in Syria to occupy more Syrian territory, which violated international law. Egypt calls on the UN Security Council and the international community to shoulder their responsibilities and take a firm stand against Israel's attack on Syria to ensure Syria's national sovereignty. On the 9th local time, Israeli Defense Minister Katz ordered the IDF to fully control the buffer zone between Israel and Syria. Katz said in a statement that the Israel Defense Forces must establish a "safe zone without heavy strategic weapons and terrorist infrastructure" in southern Syria, which includes areas outside the buffer zone. In addition, Katz also instructed the military to establish contact with the Druze community and other people in southern Syria.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.The 10-year yield of US debt rose by 1.01% to 4.191.


Soochow securities interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. soochow securities said that the meeting of the Politburo in December put forward three new formulations, indicating that there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. The first is to "stabilize the property market and stock market". On September 26th, the Politburo meeting described the real estate market and the capital market as "to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" and "to vigorously boost the capital market". In December, the Politburo meeting put forward more directly and clearly: "Stabilize the property market and the stock market". The second is "moderately loose monetary policy". After 2010, the keynote of China's monetary policy has been "steady" for a long time, and it has changed to "moderately loose" for the first time in 14 years, and monetary policy is promising. In 2024, the regulatory mechanism of monetary policy has undergone a framework change. Since 2024, loan lending has changed from supply constraint to demand constraint, and monetary policy has gradually weakened its focus on quantitative targets and paid more attention to the role of interest rate regulation. Therefore, the adjustment of "moderate easing" in 2024 may mean that monetary policy will continue to exert its strength from the "demand side" in 2025, and continue to promote the expansion of effective financing demand by maintaining sufficient liquidity supply and reducing financing costs. The third is to "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment". The meeting pointed out: "enrich and improve the policy toolbox, strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and lay a good policy' combination boxing'". The expression "extraordinary countercyclical regulation" was first put forward.WTI crude oil rose more than 2.00% in a day, and now it is reported at 68.33 USD/barrel; Brent crude oil is now up 1.8%.Many rooms have been blown again, and now they are up by 86.79%.

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